, Raphael Warnock, Democrat, advances to a runoff election for the U.S. Senate seat in Georgia. All rights reserved. Maggie Astor background-color: #6db24f; John Fetterman has been locked in a bitter contest against Mehmet Oz, the Republican celebrity doctor. Fifty-two percent say Franken's military career spent outside the. margin: 3px 0; } padding-right:10px; margin: 8px auto; Gabe Vasquez, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Mexicos Second Congressional District. Circle size is proportional to the amount each countys leading } Individual showings of Senate winners varied widely. DES MOINES - Secretary of State Paul Pate announces 34 State Senate seats will be up for election in Iowa this year. Here are the results that mattered most for abortion access. width: 100%; $(window).on('resize',resizeChevron); Taking control of the governorship and both legislative chambers in these states could ease Democrats ability to pass legislation on an array of issues. } "[13], Iowa state senators assume office on the first day of January which is not a Sunday or legal holiday.[14][15]. Nov. 9, 2022, J.D. , Greg Landsman, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Ohios First Congressional District. flex: 0 0 150px; } These are only estimates, and they may not be informed by reports from election officials. Maggie Astor background: #4c4c4c; Alicia Parlapiano break-inside: avoid-column; Send us an email. 2020 comparison maps exclude places where third-party candidates won more than 5 percent of the vote. Nov. 8, 2022. Mail voting in 2020 contributed to longer wait times for results. .image-candidate-thumbnail-wrapper { The new poll shows demographic groups that have traditionally made up the Iowa Republican Partys base have coalesced around Grassley, along with independent voters who have shifted toward the senator. } Four counties all of which supported Trump in 2020 voted for Shapiro but chose Dr. Oz, the Republican, for the Senate. Heres the state of the closest races: font-size: 12px; Interns wanted: Get paid to help ensure that every voter has unbiased election information. , Mike Lawler, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Yorks 17th Congressional District. .results_row.winner { Eight of those counties that voted for Biden in 2020 shifted 16 points to the right in the race for governor, and 12 points in the Senate race. vertical-align: top; Iowa rearranged its Senate districts during the redistricting process after the 2020 census. display: flex; Elections in Kentucky. margin: 0; border: 1px solid #aaa; chevron.addClass('fa-chevron-down'); Steve Sisolak, a Democrat, and Joe Lombardo, the Las Vegas-area sheriff who was endorsed by Donald Trump. .non_result_row { The Times estimates the share of votes reported and the number of remaining votes, based on historic turnout data and reporting from results providers. position: absolute; Nov. 10, 2022, In Texas, majority-Hispanic counties also swung to the right, but to a much lesser degree than in Florida. background-color: #ccf; And, to me, Grassley has been there too long., Murdock said after watching some of Frankens advertisements on television, she thinks he is somebody who might actually be able to get something accomplished.. Andrew Fischer IE 11 is not supported. Nov. 8, 2022, Republicans must win just 19 competitive seats to retake majority control from the Democrats. J.D. Janet Mills of Maine. box-sizing: border-box; 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. } The remaining vote there could tighten the race as it is counted. Troy Donner, a 53-year-old poll respondent from Creston, said he plans to vote for Grassley this year. } } This was the largest guaranteed influx of newcomers to the Iowa General Assembly since 2014. if ($('#vis_xs_indicator').is(':hidden') || typeof VoterInfobyState_Resized!='undefined') { Colman Silbernagel This number is an estimate and is based on several different factors, including information on the number of votes cast early as well as information provided to our vote reporters on Election Day from county election officials. Lauren Leatherby [25] However, retired vice-admiral Michael Franken managed to slowly overtake her as the perceived frontrunner, assisted by an effective campaign that highlighted his leadership credentials. .votebox, .race_header, .results_text, .results_table_container, .votebox_legend { margin-top: 0px; Lazaro Gamio }); Michael Franken is a Democratic Party candidate for office. [16] The legislature could only vote to approve or reject the maps and could not make any amendments. Randy Feenstra wins race for Iowa's 4th Congressional District. Nate Cohn font-size: 16px !important; The questions asked of all Iowans have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage. top: 0px; width: 100%; . Alan Weets, Did not make the ballot: Maggie Astor * Incumbent The filing deadline was March 18, 2022. Elections to the Kentucky Senate were held on November 8, 2022, as part of the biennial 2022 United States elections . padding-bottom: 7px; Nov. 9, 2022, Voters in three states enshrined lasting protections for abortion rights in their state Constitutions. } .indicate_scroll { display: inline-block; Follow him on Twitter at@sgrubermiller. } The Associated Press has not called New Yorks race for governor but Gov. With sitting senators added (even-numbered districts are not on the ballot), prior to election results being reported, there are 16 members of the GOP and 8 members of the Democratic party known to be part of the new Senate. Eleven incumbents were not on the ballot in 2022. Colorados Third District is leaning toward Lauren Boebert, an ardent supporter of Donald Trump, according to our estimates. Kim Reynolds wins reelection, Election results 2022: Roby Smith defeats incumbent Michael Fitzgerald, Election Results: Rob Sand vs Todd Halbur, Election results 2022: Brenna Bird unseats Attorney General Tom Miller, Election results 2022: Agriculture Secretary Mike Naig wins reelection, Our Commitment to Diversity, Equity and Inclusion, District 3: Lynn Evans - Republican (unopposed), District 4: Tim Kraayenbrink - Republican (unopposed), District 4: Dave Rowley - Republican (unopposed), District 7: Kevin Alons - Republican (unopposed), District 15: Tony Bisignano - Democrat (unopposed), District 31: Bill Dotzler - Democrat (unopposed), District 43: Zach Wahls - Democrat (unopposed), District 49: Cindy Winckler - Democrat (unopposed). , The Hillbilly Elegy author and Republican J.D. A state government trifecta is a term that describes single-party government, when one political party holds the governor's office and has majorities in both chambers of the legislature in a state government. break-inside: avoid-column; "Someone else" with 3%; "Don't want to tell" with 1%, "Someone else" with 4%; "Would not vote" with 4%, "Would not vote" (volunteered answer) with 1%, This poll was sponsored by Franken's campaign, This poll was sponsored by Finkenauer's campaign, This poll was sponsored by the Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation, American Federation of Government Employees, International Association of Sheet Metal, Air, Rail and Transportation Workers, Iowa Professional Fire Fighters Association, Vice Chair of the Democratic National Committee, Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions, National Federation of Independent Business, Laborers' International Union of North America, "Grassley will seek reelection, boosting GOP's majority hopes", "Chuck Grassley Defeats Mike Franken, Wins Eighth Senate Term", "BREAKING: State Sen. Jim Carlin is running for United States Senate seat currently held by Chuck Grassley, says if our votes do not count, we no longer have a representative government", "Rep. Ashley Hinson announces reelection campaign, with support of Iowa Republicans, Sen. Ted Cruz", "Sen. Chuck Grassley will seek an eighth term", "Chuck Grassley says grandson's "never expressed" interest in U.S. Senate bid", "Grassley endorsed by Iowans who worked in Trump administration", "FEC Iowa Senate Candidate financial totals", "Official Results - 2022 Primary Election", "Iowa Democrat group looks to draft retired admiral Mike Franken to challenge Chuck Grassley", "Can't let the "philosophically unhinged" win control of Senate", "Michael Franken launches US Senate campaign challenging Chuck Grassley", "U.S. Senate candidate Abby Finkenauer will appear on primary ballot, Iowa Supreme Court rules", "Democrat Glenn Hurst, a rural Iowa doctor and city council member, is running for U.S. Senate", "Dave Muhlbauer drops out of 2022 Senate race", "First Democrat announces Senate bid against Iowa's Grassley", "Campaign Almanac: Ashley's Army returns for 2022 race", "Bob Krause to run for U.S. Senate, aiming for Chuck Grassley's seat", "Mike Franken has the right experience, perspective", "Cindy Axne to endorse Abby Finkenauer for U.S. Senate an indication she will not seek the seat herself", "Abby Finkenauer moves toward Iowa Senate run", "State Auditor Rob Sand considering run for Iowa governor or U.S. Senate", "Iowa Democrat J.D. Vance in the returns, but almost all of the results are early votes, which we expect to disproportionately favor Democrats. text-align: left; Alicia Parlapiano Montana voters rejected a proposal that would have required medical interventions to save those that the state defines as born alive infants. Grassleys lowest score is with the 46% who say he is more honest. Nevadas Senate race is rated a tossup by the Cook Political Report. } While Tuesdays election represented a strong performance by a first-term presidents party, the individual showings of Senate candidates varied widely. .mw-body #mw-content-text .votebox .race_header h3.votebox-header-office-name { Sami Scheetz Story County, and Polk County. The outcomes of the races in these three states will decide the balance of power in the Senate. Grassley: 5060% 6070% 7080% 8090%, Grassley was first elected in 1980 and was most recently re-elected in 2016. If Republicans win all of the races where they are currently leading by two points or more, theyll take control of the House. Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. height: 50px; Less than a month before the 2022 midterm election, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll will share the results of a head-to-head matchup between U.S. Sen. Chuck Grassley, a Republican . Tonight: follow live results and our forecast from Georgia as the final Senate seat in the 2022 midterm elections is decided. .leg-hnt-flex-row { The Iowa Poll, which was conducted by Selzer & Co., shows likely voters are reacting favorably to that part of his biography. These totals include data from all regularly-scheduled House and Senate elections. They spend so much time making sure that theyre staying there instead of doing what they need to do to get things accomplished, she said. Seth Magaziner, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Rhode Islands Second Congressional District. Grassley leads in all four of Iowas congressional districts, with his largest lead in the 4th Congressional District. What we expect this year } A new poll in the Iowa U.S. Senate race shows Republican Sen. Chuck Grassley expanding his lead against Democrat candidate and former Navy Adm. Mike Franken. More than 210 Republicans who questioned the 2020 election have won seats in the U.S. House and Senate and in state races for governor, secretary of state and attorney general, according to . } else { Representative Sean Patrick Maloney has conceded defeat to Mike Lawler, a first-term Republican state assemblyman. display: flex; . Nov. 8, 2022, Its still early, but Fetterman is running ahead of Biden in five Pennsylvania counties that have reported nearly all of their votes. For Democrats, this was up from 12 in 2020, an 8% increase. font-size: 0.9em; .inner_percentage.L { Five other districts were open due to redistricting moving incumbents into districts with other incumbents. .results_table { Currently, Republicans control the majority in the chamber, with 32 elected representatives against the Democrats' elected 18. Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters? margin-bottom: 4px; padding-left: 10px; In 2022, candidates in the 25 districts labeled with odd numbers . Christine Zhang Laura Kelly, Democrat, is re-elected as governor of Kansas. padding-left: 16px; That candidate must then file a political party convention certificate and an affidavit of candidacy. Grace Van Cleave, Did not make the ballot: The primary was scheduled for June 7, 2022. Heres what the vote count could look like this year. $("div.vis_widget_title").each(function(index) { , Susie Lee, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Nevadas Third Congressional District. Georgias Senate race might culminate in a runoff election on Dec. 6 if no candidate receives 50 percent of the vote. The Timess election results pages are produced by Michael Andre, Aliza Aufrichtig, Kristen Bayrakdarian, Neil Berg, Matthew Bloch, Vronique Brossier, Irineo Cabreros, Sean Catangui, Andrew Chavez, Nate Cohn, Lindsey Rogers Cook, Alastair Coote, Annie Daniel, Saurabh Datar, Avery Dews, Asmaa Elkeurti, Tiffany Fehr, Andrew Fischer, Lazaro Gamio, Martn Gonzlez Gmez, Will Houp, Jon Huang, Samuel Jacoby, Jason Kao, Josh Katz, Aaron Krolik, Jasmine C. Lee, Vivian Li, Rebecca Lieberman, Ilana Marcus, Alicia Parlapiano, Jaymin Patel, Marcus Payadue, Matt Ruby, Rachel Shorey, Charlie Smart, Umi Syam, Jaime Tanner, James Thomas, Urvashi Uberoy, Ege Uz, Isaac White and Christine Zhang. Franken gets 37%. , Elissa Slotkin, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Michigans Seventh Congressional District. Copyright 2022, Des Moines Register and Tribune Co. Republican Sen. Chuck Grassley has gained a double-digit lead over Democrat Mike Franken in the closing days of Iowas U.S. Senate race, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows. padding-left: 0; Dont expect quick results in either race; officials in Alaska wont finish counting absentee ballots for about two weeks. A primary was scheduled for June 7, 2022. 100% remote. chevron.removeClass('fa-chevron-up'); But Selzer noted he does not get a majority of any of the groups aside from those who have no religious affiliation. , George Santos, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Yorks Third Congressional District. 2022 Latest Polls Election 2022 Polls | Senate Polls | House Polls | Governor Polls | 2024 Polls | State of Union Polls | All Latest Polls Thursday, December 1 Tuesday,. .votebox-results-cell--check { The last four mid-term elections have been a disaster for the party that held the presidency. . } Lazaro Gamio margin-bottom: 0px; Miller-Meeks secures . padding: 2px 0; .inner_percentage, .inner_percentage.Nonpartisan, .inner_percentage.Independent, .inner_percentage.Constitution, .inner_percentage.unknown { Des Moines Register reporter Francesca Block contributed to this article. } Ron DeSantis, a hard-right conservative, is facing Representative Charlie Crist, a former Republican governor who switched parties. } Follow her on Twitter at@brianneDMR. [1] With U.S. font-size: 12px; The Associated Press has not yet called the race. NRSC is a partisan sponsor for the Republican Party (internal). Notice any bugs or missing polls? flex: 0 0 175px; background-color: green; Reid Epstein June 7, 2022. } Nov. 9, 2022, House districts rated as tossups have been called mostly in favor of Democrats so far, with one state as a glaring exception: New York. These maps took effect for Iowa's 2022 congressional and legislative elections. Nov. 10, 2022, As of noon Eastern time, Democrats have won 190 House seats, Republicans have won 208, and 37 are still undecided. } Ruth Igielnik This may result in instances where multiple incumbents face each other in contested primaries or general elections if the incumbent in the new district also seeks re-election. , Frank J. Mrvan, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Indianas First Congressional District. event.srcElement.innerText = '[hide]'; Herschel Walker, Republican, advances to a runoff election for the U.S. Senate seat in Georgia. } . What is more common for me to see in data is that men and women kind of offset each other more or less equally. function widget_load_check_dom(){ } Senator Raphael Warnock of Georgia is one of the most vulnerable Democrats in the Senate. candidate is ahead. Nov. 9, 2022, Democrats and Republicans each need to win three more competitive Senate seats to win control of the chamber (in addition to the races they are expected to win most easily). This can lead to incumbent versus incumbent contests if multiple incumbents choose to run in the same district. Independents are notoriously fickle, Selzer said. Grassleys longevity isnt enough to persuade Donner to change his vote, however. Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? Polls just closed in 19 states and Washington, D.C. Nov. 8, 2022, The early vote in Arizona has been strong for Democrat Mark Kelly, but we expect a good portion of the in-person and late-counted mail vote to favor Blake Masters. display: inline; Nov. 9, 2022, The Senate races in Georgia, Nevada and Arizona are very tight, and vote counting is expected to drag into the week. .results_text { POLITICO's coverage of 2022 races for Senate, House, Governors and Key Ballot Measures. Lazaro Gamio And among men, its up from 56% to 59%. .race_header { What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline? Most of the vote reporting so far is early, and Democrats are expected to win those votes by a large margin. background-color: #db0000; , David Schweikert, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Arizonas First Congressional District. border-bottom: 1px solid #aaa; However, a political party convention candidate may file his or her documents before the filing period begins for general election candidates. I think if we had a different president, it might be OK.. margin: 0px 10px; } For the number of signatures required for nomination petitions, see the table below. Nov. 17, 2022, The gap between the candidates for Arizona governor narrowed considerably after Nov. 8 as late absentee ballots were tallied, including ones dropped off on Election Day. .leg-hnt-responsive-columns { Senate! During most general elections, 25 of the 50 seats are on the ballot. Nov. 8, 2022, Six of the eight most competitive Senate races are in states that did not call a winner in the presidential race until after election night: Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The polls are now closed in Arizona, Colorado, Minnesota, New York, Wisconsin and several other states. But the poll result sent a jolt through political circles, bringing national attention to a race that many had written off from the start. Source 1 Source 2 Source 3. chevron = $(this).find('i.fa-pull-right'); The current balance is 33 members of the GOP and 16 members of the Democratic party. The general election was on November 8, 2022. The Iowa Poll, conducted October 31-November 3, 2022, for the Des Moines Register and Mediacom by Selzer & Co. of Des Moines, is based on telephone interviews with 801 Iowans ages 18 or older. Well also be watching competitive House races in N.C.-13 and Ohio-9. Indicates a polling average for this poll type Candidate is an incumbent Partisan types Democratic-funded Republican-funded Other party-funded Campaign. In Colorado, a measure to decriminalize certain psychedelics is close but yet to be decided. Chris Deluzio, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Pennsylvanias 17th Congressional District. .inner_percentage { Heres how they performed when compared with the 2020 presidential candidates. .votebox-results-cell--number { float: right; [11], A candidate who is not affiliated with any political party or NPPO can be nominated by petition. The Democrats need to win roughly twice as many of the most competitive districts as Republicans to keep control of the House. position: absolute; The chamber's Republican majority increased from 32-18 to 34-16. chevron.addClass('fa-chevron-down'); .leg-hnt-leadership { Vance defeated Rep. Tim Ryan after a competitive campaign for Ohios open Senate seat. Republicans need to flip only one seat to gain control of the Senate, while Democrats need to keep 50 seats to maintain control. letter-spacing: 0.03em; All Rights Reserved. background-color: grey; Follow along after polls close. top: -1px; Brad Price, Izaah Knox Heres who won Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party. Compared to Kemps reported votes, Walkers fell short in every county, but especially in the Atlanta area and its suburbs. font-size: 16px; Heres where we think votes remain. The filing deadline was March 18, 2022. "It's a seemingly insurmountable lead, though anything can happen, said pollster J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co. This is a very good poll for Chuck Grassley. There is also an unexpectedly competitive Senate race in Utah between Senator Mike Lee, a Republican, and Evan McMullin, an independent. Elections for the Iowa State Senate took place in 2022. Nov. 9, 2022, The feared Democratic collapse along the Rio Grande didnt materialize. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. $("div.vis_widget_title").click(function(){ } } , David Valadao, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Californias 22nd Congressional District. .candidaterm { This is our current best estimate for the outcome of this race. The deadline to file the convention certificate and affidavit of candidacy is the same as the general election filing deadline. , Senator Catherine Cortez Masto of Nevada won a second term, beating Adam Laxalt, a Trump acolyte, and dealing a blow to Republicans. Heres how it works When reported data comes in that is not what we expected, our model will update and incorporate this new data. Because Alaska uses ranked choice voting, we may not know the winner until Nov. 23. .non_result_row th { 2016: Grassley (R) +24.4|2010: Grassley (R) +31.3, Senate Map,Polls,Projection|House Map,Polls,GenericVote|Governor Map,Polls,Projection|2022,'24 Polls, Senate Map,Polls,Projection|House Map,Polls,Generic Ballot|Governor Map,Polls,Projection|2022,'24 Polls, RCP Ranking: Likely GOPRCP Projection:GOP HoldKey 2022 Races:Governor |IA-1 |IA-2 |IA-3, 2020:President|Senate|IA-1|IA-2|IA-3|IA-42018:Governor|IA-1|IA-2|IA-3|IA-42016:President|Senate|IA-1,IA-32014:Governor|IA-1|IA-2|IA-3|IA-42012:President|IA-1|IA-2|IA-3|IA-42010:Governor|Senate|IA-1|IA-2|IA-32008:President. We use early returns and polling data to estimate in real time the outcome of the elections for Senate and House control. .mw-body #mw-content-text th.votebox-results-cell--text { DeSantis outperformed Trump in Florida in every county that has nearly finished counting votes. } That equals 33% of the 134 districts up for election in 2022 and 31% of all 150 districts in the Iowa General Assembly. While the three majority-Hispanic counties Hendry, Miami-Dade and Osceola shifted the most, Latino turnout tends to drop more in the midterms compared with other groups. Lazaro Gamio A convention may be held at any time as long as it is before the general election filing deadline. VoterInfobyState_Resized = true; .inner_percentage.CrossFiled { Lazaro Gamio .
 }, ToyA S. Johnson(Libertarian Party)												 Iowa Senate Midterm Election Results and Maps 2022 | CNN Politics Governor Secretary of State Ballot Measures State Results Exit Polls Polling Senate: Iowa CNN coverage: What a 51-49.         Nov. 8, 2022, The Timess election forecast is now running. In Virginia, the performances of Democratic incumbents in the 2nd and 7th districts may offer early indications of how the party will fare in House races overall. More than 210 Republicans who questioned the 2020 election have won seats in the U.S. House and Senate and in state races for governor, secretary of state and attorney general, according to .  Alicia Parlapiano Ron DeSantis winning the early vote in Miami-Dade County  which voted for Hillary Clinton by +29 points just six years ago  is yet another sign of growing Republican strength among Hispanic voters. The poll of 801 likely voters was conducted Oct. 31 to Nov. 3 by Selzer & Co., with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. Iowa Results CNN coverage: What a 51-49 Senate majority means for Democrats Voters deliver ringing endorsement of abortion rights on midterm ballot initiatives across the US Why were the.  Alicia Parlapiano Was early voting available to all voters? }  Copy editing by Jennifer Mason, Andrew Mangan and Curtis Yee. Voters in Vermont decided in favor of including abortion protections in their state constitution. , Kathy Hochul, New Yorks first female governor, beat Rep. Lee Zeldin in the states closest race in decades. Iowa Senate Election Results for the 2022 primary election. Jen Kiggans, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent Virginias Second Congressional District.         Nov. 9, 2022, Democratic House candidates outperformed Biden in several Michigan districts, bucking a rightward trend and maintaining seven of their seats. }); 	padding-top: 8px; Races to watch include those in the 17th, 18th, 19th and 22nd Congressional Districts, as well as the contest for governor. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined. . Franken and Grassley have the support of members of their parties, with 94% of Republicans backing Grassley and 94% of Democrats choosing Franken. The polls just closed in Montana, Utah and parts of Nevada, Idaho and Oregon. We look at the votes that have been reported so far and adjust our estimate based on what we expect from the votes that remain. , Katie Porter, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Californias 47th Congressional District. .votebox-results-metadata { [3] It will be updated as information becomes available following the states candidate filing deadline. When an incumbent files to run for re-election in the same chamber but a new district, it leaves his or her original seat open. Iowa allows any registered voter to challenge a candidate's nominating petition, as long as the challenge is made in writing and within 74 days of the corresponding election.  Were getting results for ballot measures related to abortion and reproductive rights in Kentucky, Michigan and Vermont. Among those who live in the 4th Congressional District, support has risen from 52% to 62%.  Lazaro Gamio .inner_percentage.D { The first polls are closing in Indiana and Kentucky. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included. 	line-height: 1.5em; 		flex-direction: column; , Senator Mark Kelly of Arizona, a Democrat, won a tough re-election campaign, beating Blake Masters, a Trump-backed venture capitalist. 
   font-size: 16px !important;          NYT Graphics  Lazaro Gamio This year, 41 districts were open because incumbents either retired or chose to run for some other office. Questions based on the sample of 801 Iowa likely voters have a maximum margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.  These same counties favored Biden over Trump in 2020 by a margin of 8 percentage points  a whopping 19-point swing. !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r
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